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皇冠开户本次会议，好意思联储保合手利率水平不变。会议公布了新的经济预测，上调了对本年度的GDP增长预测与通胀预测。点阵图变化躁急，预测2024年降息3次（10位委员），将来两年的降息次数亦下落，但相宜预期。发布会鲍威尔重申本轮周期利率还是触顶，证据了在本年启动降息是合适的。1月和2月的CPI数据并未窜改鲍威尔对去通胀进度的乐不雅作风，他强调FOMC本就预期通胀回落不会一帆风顺（bumpy）。对行状阛阓的强势进展，鲍威尔显得“毫无保留”，并强调行状过强不会影响降息决定。辩论永久利率预测近5年内的初度上行，鲍威尔表态“不知谈具体水平在哪”但不会像疫情前那么低了。关于QT Taper，联储还是运行商榷钞票欠债表的结构问题，鲍威尔强调了流动性的“散布”问题。从不雅感上看，本次会议险些莫得展夸耀任何的鹰派信号，阛阓在会议前所担忧的二次通胀风险并未干预FOMC的视线。笔者觉得联储在开年会议上奠定的“风险处置”和“均衡风险”的姿态在本次会议上出现了bias，淡化了通胀风险，深远了对增长的乐不雅预期。风险钞票合手续走高，10年期好意思债收益率冲高回落，好意思元跌。

声明原文（仅第一段有可忽略的小幅变化）

秘密据消息人士透露，在最近的一场国际友谊赛上，某国家队的明星门将XXX在比赛中表现不佳，据说是因为他熬夜在博彩网站上狂输了一笔钱。皇冠体育比分网

Recent indicators suggest that economic activity has been expanding at a solid pace. Job gains have remained strong, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation has eased over the past year but remains elevated.

最近的主义标明经济举止以郑重的速率推广。行状增长保合手苍劲，休闲率保合手低位。通胀在昔时一年有所放缓，但仍然居高不下。

The Committee seeks to achieve maximum employment and inflation at the rate of 2 percent over the longer run. The Committee judges that the risks to achieving its employment and inflation goals are moving into better balance. The economic outlook is uncertain, and the Committee remains highly attentive to inflation risks.

委员会致力于于已毕在永久内充分行状和2%的通胀率。委员会觉得已毕行状和通胀主义的风险正执政着更好的均衡主义发展。经济出路不细目，委员会对通胀风险保合手高度热心。

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In support of its goals, the Committee decided to maintain the target range for the federal funds rate at 5-1/4 to 5-1/2 percent. In considering any adjustments to the target range for the federal funds rate, the Committee will carefully assess incoming data, the evolving outlook, and the balance of risks. The Committee does not expect it will be appropriate to reduce the target range until it has gained greater confidence that inflation is moving sustainably toward 2 percent. In addition, the Committee will continue reducing its holdings of Treasury securities and agency debt and agency mortgage-backed securities, as described in its previously announced plans. The Committee is strongly committed to returning inflation to its 2 percent objective.

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为了复旧其主义，委员会决定将联邦基金利率的主义区间督察在5.25%至5.5%之间。在商酌对子邦基金利率主义区间进行任何养息时，皇冠打水委员会将仔细评估最新数据、束缚变化的出路和风险均衡。委员会预测在得回更大信心，即通胀朝着2%的可合手续增长主义发展之前，镌汰主义区间将不对适。此外，委员会将连接按照其先前公布的筹画减合手国债、机构债务和机构典质复旧证券。委员会坚强致力于于将通胀规复到2%的主义水平。

近期供应端消息此起彼伏，沪镍指数已达到上市以来的最高位。后市来看，国内电解镍供应暂无忧虑，随着镍铁产能释放，供应压力将逐渐体现，不锈钢需求尚可，但去库缓慢引人担忧，镍价上涨持续性存疑。

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In assessing the appropriate stance of monetary policy, the Committee will continue to monitor the implications of incoming information for the economic outlook. The Committee would be prepared to adjust the stance of monetary policy as appropriate if risks emerge that could impede the attainment of the Committee's goals. The Committee's assessments will take into account a wide range of information, including readings on labor market conditions, inflation pressures and inflation expectations, and financial and international developments.

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在评估货币策略的稳当态度时，委员会将连接监测经济出路的辩论信息。淌若出现可能终止委员会主义已毕的风险，委员会将准备应时养息货币策略的态度。委员会的评估将商酌到平凡的信息，包括劳能源阛阓情状、通胀压力和通胀预期以及金融和海外发展情况。

点阵图与经济预测细节

博彩公司排名万博经济预测上调，这皆快跟高盛（乐不雅派）的预测差未几了通胀预测小幅上调，体现去通胀并非坦途。永久利率预测小幅高涨10bp，疫情以来的初度。从点阵图来看，内容上觉得降息两次内的委员是9位，而觉得降息两次以上的为10位，降息次数有进一标准降的风险。

本文作家：朱尘Mikko，开头：智堡皇冠代理，原文标题：《好意思联储议息会议札记：通胀别慌，利率会降》

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